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Misperception, Ambivalence, and Indecision in Soviet Policy-making: Czechoslovakia 1968: Lessons for today?

Rereading my 1984 article “Misperception, Ambivalence, and Indecision in Soviet Policy-making,” for the first time in many years, most of the analysis strikes me as just as valid today as it was in 1984 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1903573. There is, however, an important blind spot in the article. I did not fully appreciate the panic of hardliners among the leaders of the Soviet Bloc concerning the Prague Spring. It was clear that the Czechoslovak reform movement...

10.03.2016

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Ukraine crisis: Need for a new order in Europe and Eurasia

... will say that we always told you that is how the Russians are -- but this is just wrong. In an open letter to President Clinton at the end of June 1997, ﬁfty former US senators, cabinet secretaries and ambassadors, as well as US arms control and foreign policy specialists, stated their belief that “the current US-led effort to expand NATO … is a policy error of historic importance.” The policy of NATO expansion was not carefully thought through. General Charles Wald was ...

30.01.2015

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Poll conducted

In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?

U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements	33 (31%)
U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity	30 (28%)
U.S. wants to dissolve Russia	24 (22%)
U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China	21 (19%)