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Trump plans to increase the U.S. nuclear potential and doubts the New START's usefulness. How should Russia react?

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Foreign Affairs: Analysis

22 march 2017

Could the Ukraine Crisis Trigger a New Cold War?

Ferit Temur PhD Candidate in International Relations, specialist in Russian and Eurasian Affairs, Turkey

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Even after Trump was elected to the office of President, his continued positive statements about Russia has strengthened expectations that relations between the US and Russia would get better. However, expectations for the normalisation of relations between the two countries have been dampened due to an array of issues. One was the recent resignation of Trump’s National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, on allegations that ‘bargains’ were made during a phone call between him and Russian Ambassador to the US Sergey Kislyak. A recent statement from the White House that President Trump expects Crimea to be returned to Ukraine did not alleviate this disappointment. In addition, the decision to recognize the ‘passports’ of the secessionist Donetsk and Lugansk regions by Vladimir Putin against backdrop of the decision taken at the NATO summit to increase the military deployment to the Black Sea signals that new and serious tensions may be on the horizon.

21 march 2017

Russia’s Political Agenda in the Post-Soviet Space

Irina Bolgova PhD in History, Post-Soviet Studies Center at the MGIMO University

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Russia’s current policy in the post-Soviet space is a key part of its global strategy. The positioning of Russia in the international arena and the emergence of new rules for the world order that are seen as a precondition for the stable development of the country depend on the implementation of foreign policy goals in Russia’s immediate geographical surroundings. Successful completion of the integration project is thought to be an indispensable condition for creating an independent and self-sufficient centre in the global economy, hence the basis for the emergence of a real, undeclared poly-centricity of the global political system.

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Adriel Kasonta's blog

Ukraine untold: Is it time for America to ignore Ukraine’s unsolved past?

Ukraine untold: Is it time for America to ignore Ukraine’s unsolved past?

A famous Polish screenwriter and director, who is “considered one of the most severe societal commentators since the political transformation in 1989,” Wojciech Smarzowski hit upon an idea in 2013 to finally raise a topic of the tragic events in Volhynia (1943-1944), which have been silenced so far in the native cinema and public debate.

Author: Adriel Kasonta.

Discussion

Improving Ethical Culture by Measuring Stakeholder Trust

Improving Ethical Culture by Measuring Stakeholder Trust

The culture of a firm has a powerful influence on how that firm interacts with society, and a very powerful effect on how people within that firm interact with each other. Understanding and improving its culture could be very valuable to a business firm. Stakeholder trust might be the most illuminating window into the ethicality of its culture, and measuring stakeholder trust might be the most effective practical method of improving the ethicality of that culture.

Authors: Patricia E. Dowden and Philip M. Nichols

20 march 2017

Francis Fukuyama: We Need a Common Threat

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On March 14–16, Berkeley hosted Global Cyberspace Cooperation Summit organized by East West Institute and attended by over 150 experts, government and business representatives from a number of countries. RIAC website editor Maria Smekalova had a chance to ask Francis Fukuyama, the author of best-selling “The End of History and the Last Man” and Stanford University professor, about the crises global community faces as well as decline of traditional media following his speech at the event.

Day Figure

Reduce American Aid by 37%. Donald Trump's First Multibillion Victim

Reduce American Aid by 37%. Donald Trump's First Multibillion Victim

One of the first victims of Donald Trump's budget reductions will be the U.S. aid to foreign countries. Aid programs have never been popular in the United States with Donald Trump repeatedly urging to "stop feeding" its enemies and foes during his election campaign. Although Washington spends only 0,17% of its GDP on aid, which is much less than the majority of European countries (up to 1% of GDP), budget cutting might reach several billion dollars.

Author: Andrey Kortunov.

Handbook & Infographics

Sanctions

Sanctions

Sanctions are still in the focus of the foreign policy community and the general public. But what are sanctions? What are the legal basis and imposition mechanism? What types of sanctions exist and is there any responsibility for its viotaions? Why countries impose sanctions on each other? And which countries have already imposed the sanctions? RIAC team gathered all the information about the sanctions and its nature and here is what we’ve got.

russiancouncil.ru/en/sanctions

17 march 2017

Keeping Peace in Africa in the 21st Century

Dmitry Borisov International Security expert, MA in International Affairs, Sciences Po Paris/MGIMO

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In the past 25 years, Africa has made great strides towards development and peace, but conflict is still present in many places on the continent. For this reason, there has been an unprecedented surge in both the scale of peacekeeping and peacebuilding activities, as well as in the number of actors engaged in conflict resolution. Complex and challenging, the African security landscape presents the United Nations (UN), the African Union (AU), and the broader international community with numerous opportunities for trial, error, and experimentation.

15 march 2017

Russia – GCC Relations After the Signing of the JCPOA with Iran

Aleksandr Aksenenok Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation, Leading Researcher at the Russian Institute of Oriental Studies, RIAC Member

Omar Mahmood Research Analyst at the Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies (Derasat)

  10

Russian and GCC commentators are well-acquainted with the Western views regarding the GCC region. However, Russian and GCC commentators are comparatively uninformed about each other’s perspectives regarding this important topic due to the nascent nature of research dialogue between the two. The report prepared by Alexander Aksenenok and Omar Mahmood aims to remedy this communication lacuna by furnishing readers with Russian and GCC perspectives on the issue.

RIAC Reader

Anti-government extremist organizations in Syria

Anti-government extremist organizations in Syria

This longread describes the main anti-government groups – parties to the Syrian conflict (both currently existing and those which have already merged with other groups). The longread's authors attempted to trace their connections and the dynamics of their development. This is clearly a very ambitious task which goes beyond the current study. Yet the review covers the basic range of the main extremist groups participating in the Syrian crisis, thus enabling the reader to get as complete a picture of the current events as possible.

14 march 2017

Immigration Divided the USA

Ilya Kravchenko PhD in political science, RIAC expert

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Donald Trump has begun his presidential term in a more active way than his predecessor, Barack Obama, did. He has already issued more than 20 presidential executive orders and memorandums, and all of them are as controversial as the 45th US president is himself. Among them all the executive order “Border Security and Immigration Enforcement Improvements” stands out, which literally divided America.

13 march 2017

Russia and the World: The Agenda for the Next 100 Years

Ivan Timofeev PhD in Political Science, Director of Programs at Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), RIAC Member, Head of "Contemporary State" program at Valdai Discussion Club

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Humanity is still aiming towards a future utopia, an ideal world in which the problems of resource requirements have been solved, conflicts have been eliminated, equality among people has been attained and the environment is clean. In an incredibly technologized society, we continue to dream of “paradise”. Today, we are witnessing a clash of two different concepts of “paradise” — the rationalist and the religious. We have reached a stage of human development where progress has ceased to be a universal value and the ideology of the Enlightenment is in crisis. “Paradise” remains excruciatingly out of reach.

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