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Foreign Affairs: Analysis

21 october 2016

Enviable … stagnation

Mark Entin Editor-in-Chief of All Europe magazine, Professor at MGIMO-University

Ekaterina Entina Associate Professor at National Research University Higher School of Economics


Jean-Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission, is a likeable fellow. It is hard to find among today’s world leaders a person more charming, wise, experienced, knowledgeable and at the same time so easy-going and ironic. He is the father of the Luxembourg economic miracle. No wonder one can read with some dismay arrogant, disdainful and extremely unfair foreign and Russian media comments on his annual speech to the European Union which is the equivalent of an address to the nation on the national level.

Column "The Days of the Arabs"

Mosul in Iraq. How Will al-Hashd Al Shaabi Respond?

Mosul in Iraq. How Will al-Hashd Al Shaabi Respond?

On October 17, Prime Minister of Iraq Haider al-Abadi announced that an operation to return to Mosul had begun. The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) had completed a serious campaign before launching the offensive. However, if the logic of war states that the city must be surrounded before the operation is set in motion, then we must clarify the specific features of Iraq here.

Author: Ruslan Mamedov.

20 october 2016

After Paris: Countries’ Paths into the Low-Carbon Future

Igor Makarov PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of the World Economy Department, Academic Head of the World Economy Undergraduate Program at HSE- University, RIAC expert


It is not surprising therefore that both the expert and the academic communities continue to discuss the results of the Paris Conference. In particular, in August 2016, the British analytical center Chatham House published a report by John and Beth Mitchells “Paris Mismatches. The Impact of the COP21 Climate Change Negotiations on the Oil and Gas Industries.” The Mitchells’ report offers a well-structured explication of the consequences the agreement will have for two interconnected sectors which are of particular significance for Russia’s economy.

Via Militaris & Via Egnatia Coloumn

Looking for Changes. Montenegro Elections Results

Looking for Changes. Montenegro Elections Results

Montenegro approached its latest elections in the state of a crisis caused by a whole range of socioeconomic and political factors. Montenegro’s socioeconomic problems, for instance, a high unemployment rate, are typical for the entire region. As regards the political reasons, one could single out dissatisfaction with Milo Djukanovic’s regime and attempts to draw the country into NATO which have intensified since mid-2014. The situation was quite tense last year. The opposition held several protests, even in the parliament. On January 27, 2016, the ruling coalition split after the Social Democratic Party left.

Author: Alexander Pivovarenko.

Beyond the Ocean Column

The Weekly Catch

The Weekly Catch

What is the President of Colombia celebrating? Who found themselves by the wayside in Venezuela? What did the President of Argentina and Pope Francis discuss? Digest of the most important regional news.

Author: Anastasia Borik.

Captain Smollet's Column

They are there

They are there

The US Air Force has secretly transferred F-16 multirole fighters and KC-135 military aerial refueling aircraft to Djibouti, a small East African state on the Gulf of Aden coast. This was done back in July, but is only now being admitted. However, the question of why this deployment has now been revealed is just as interesting as the reasons for concealing it. It can hardly be a plain coincidence that Djibouti is situated just across a narrow gulf from western Yemen, an area mainly occupied by Houthi forces.

Author: Alexander Yermakov.

19 october 2016

Russia Bids Farewell to Obama: A Message to the New US President

Andrey Kortunov Director General of the Russian International Affairs Council, RIAC member


If Hillary Clinton is the schoolmarm, Donald Trump is the troublemaker in the back of the class. People are afraid of him and he is frequently called to the front to be disciplined, but for all this many admire him secretly and even want to emulate him. Who is more likely to win on November 8 and what should Russia do during the pause between election day and inauguration day in the US?

New Asian perspectives

Asia Approaches the Arctic

Asia Approaches the Arctic

Russia and China have established a joint Arctic research centre at the Far Eastern Federal University and Harbin Polytechnic University. This achievement is yet another example of the growing interest that Asian countries and China in particular are taking in the Arctic. New Asian Perspectives has decided to recall other recent events demonstrating Asia’s turn to the Arctic.

Author: Nikolay Murashkin.

18 october 2016

Russia—EU Relations at a Crossroads. Common and Divergent Interests

Andrey Zagorsky RIAC member, Department Head at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences


Russia and the EU proceed on the basis that “business as usual” is no longer possible. However, neither of them has specified what legacy of their relations before the crisis they are willing or ready to sacrifice, except for the strategic partnership rhetoric. Nor have they formulated any particular vision for their future relations that could become a “new business”. The working paper includes analysis of common and divergent interests, of mechanisms for cooperation, and gives recommendations on the first steps for renewing the cooperation.


Cyber-Hysteria in Russia–U.S. Relations

Cyber-Hysteria in Russia–U.S. Relations

Russia has once again become a bargaining chip for the presidential candidates. Washington has threatened Moscow with fresh sanctions, this time accusing Russia of hacking the Democratic National Committee’s computer networks in various states. The situation is becoming more and more unpleasant for bilateral relations between Russia and the United States, and the atmosphere is becoming ever more reminiscent of the Cold War period. If the U.S. does impose further sanctions on Russia following the publication of the joint statement, then cyberspace will become a real part of “big politics” in inter-state relations.

Author: Maria Gurova.

17 october 2016

“Less than a Year Since…” Does the Normalization of Russia–Turkey Relations Really Work?

Kerim Has Eurasian policy expert International Strategic Research Organization, Ankara (Uluslararası Stratejik Araştırmalar Kurumu – USAK)


In late June 2016, less than a year since the escalation of the Russia–Turkey conflict, Ankara and Moscow embarked upon a course towards rapprochement. Over the past two months, the leaders of Russia and Turkey have held three meetings, with the latest taking place on October 10, 2016. The results of the Istanbul meeting boil down to the following points: the restoration of Russia’s trade and economic cooperation with Turkey is not going quite as fast as Turkey had hoped; energy remains the basis for relations between the two countries; and, given the interests of both countries, the Syrian crisis will contribute to furthering the dialogue and shaping a positive agenda.

14 october 2016

The Present and Future of the Chinese Authorities under Xi Jinping

Ivan Zuenko Research Fellow at the Institute of History, Archaeology and Ethnography of the Peoples of Far East, RAS Far Eastern Branch


In June 2016, experts from the Mercator Institute of Chinese Studies (MERICS) in Berlin presented a collection of analytical essays titled China’s Core Executives: Leadership Styles, Structures and Processes under Xi Jinping. This collection is interesting both as the debut of MERICS’s Papers on China series (it should be kept in mind that the Institute was founded only in 2013) and as an original comprehensive research into the topical issues related to China: the current Chinese leadership’s view of the country’s future, the goals posited, the methods adopted, what the outcome of the process of power centralization initiated by China’s current leader would be, and the significance of all these developments for the rest of the world.


13 october 2016

Parliamentary Elections in Georgia: All Tests Passed

Sergey Markedonov PhD in History, Associate Professor, Department of Regional Studies and Foreign Policy, Russian State University for the Humanities, RIAC Expert


The parliamentary elections that took place in Georgia on October 8, 2016 served as a multidimensional political test. The Georgian Dream party, which has “slimmed down” in the political sense (four years ago it was part of a coalition), now operates as a single party with no allies. It was important for Georgian Dream to prove that it was capable of remaining the ruling party. It was also a test for the United National Movement, which was part of the opposition forces four years ago, to see if it could solidify its position as the main opponent of the ruling party, or even challenge for leadership of the country.

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