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Report No. 85 / 2023 Report No. 85 / 2023 The Taliban’s (an organization whose activities are banned in the Russian Federation) rise to power in Afghanistan in August 2021 and the conflict in Ukraine have both had an impact on regional trends in the Middle East. This report sheds light on the transformation of new elements in Middle Eastern state relations and examines the changing role of key ...
... socioeconomic problems similar to those of Afghanistan. Certainly, the efficiency of its state governance is also somewhat dubious. Yet, the stability of the state in Syria has proved to be far greater than that of the Afghan state. Besides, both in Syria and in Afghanistan, victory in state-building is impossible without active collaboration with regional actors. No international coalition founded on shared democratic values and loyalty to the leader will be substitute for cooperation with the neighboring states....
... conflict and misunderstanding. Israel and Saudi Arabia agree that Russian control in Syria and keeping Assad in power are the best option, but that Iran should not be involved — at all — which is a request Russia cannot accommodate. Russia learned in Afghanistan to limit the number of foot soldiers they deploy. Therefore, the majority of the boots on the ground in Syria, working alongside Russian Military Police and Air Force, are Iranian (or Shia Iraqi, Shia Pakistani, Hezbollah, etc.) Moreover, of course, the Syrian army is in a severe state of incapacity and corruption. Because of Russia’s critical position,...
... Russia is much more concerned about the ISIS presence in Afghanistan: over the past two years Russian security services have been reporting the growing influence of ISIS in that country. That way, it is necessary to continue fighting terrorism both in Syria and on the territories where terrorists are most likely to be sent from to Russia (Afghanistan and the Caucasus). Such arrangements may involve close collaboration with the government structures of the states concerned (Turkey, Iran, the countries of South Caucasus and Central Asia), including CSTO and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization....
... religious differences, there is no legitimate space for groups that discriminate people on the basis of their ethnicity, ideology or religion.E. Sh.: I have another question about the migration crisis. You know that there are some consequences of the Syrian war in Europe now. As for Afghanistan, is there any possibility of migration crisis in this country? P. C-R.: Actually, this is a key question. The Syrian crisis has generated a wave of problems in European relations including Brexit, populism and some similar consequences. Now,...
... power in the hands of Shia Iraqis (sectarianism) has never been a good strategy. Finally, air strikes can halt or pull the IS back at best. At worst, one can fail as the U.S. did in Vietnam. You just cannot combat these guys from the sky! 3. Whither Afghanistan? Well, it's pretty simple. A president of Kabul is not a president of Afghanistan. Almost entire south-east landstrip of the territory is facing considerable or high security threat, terror attacks have been carried out in the Afghan ...
In light of the recent developments in Syria and the apparently imminent US military intervention, the blog will take a short break from its relatively academic style and its thematic focus in order to brainstorm and share some thoughts on the broader picture of what is happening in the geopolitical ...
... the unintended consequences of American, British and French foreign policy in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya, unintended consequences due largely to failures of strategic thinking. The Afghanistan and Iraq interventions – unintended consequences in Syria In Afghanistan in 2002 the Americans with NATO backing launched themselves into a desired short war, and with right intention. And, in the early days, things appeared to go well. Supported by overwhelming air power from USN aircraft carriers, the Northern ...
| U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements |
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| U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity |
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| U.S. wants to dissolve Russia |
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| U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China |
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