... States from the INF Treaty could lead to the collapse of the entire arms control system and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. The U.S. withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM Treaty) and its subsequent abandonment of the INF Treaty mean that Russia and the United States have now lost two fundamental arms control agreements. The nuclear balance that the two sides had maintained for decades is under real threat, as evidenced by the fact that both have stepped up the development and deployment of their missile systems since the United States decided ...
... hope that the Trump Administration will apply the same approach to the INF.
However, the repercussions of withdrawal from the INF Treaty will nonetheless include consequences that go beyond bilateral relations.
2.5. The future of non-proliferation
As experts have warned, it is impossible to abandon the bilateral Russia-US dimension of nuclear arms control while leaving its multilateral dimension intact. The energy of disintegration is bound to spill over from the framework ...
.... Mutual expulsions of diplomats, the closure of consular offices, and the scandal over Russia’s diplomatic property in the United States marked a major setback for bilateral relations. This decline in relations is embodied in the scrapping of the INF Treaty and the prospect of further loss of arms control mechanisms. And yet, Russia and the United States have avoided drawing the iron curtain. The most important issues continue to be discussed at the expert level. Businesses have suffered from sanctions and economic difficulties in Russia, but there has not been a precipitous ...
... Centre. Moscow: Russian Political Encyclopaedia (ROSSPEN). 2012, p. 245.
3
. Alexander Savelyev, Nikolay Detinov. The Big Five. Arms Control Decision-Making in the Soviet Union // Praeger Publishers. 1995, p. 229.
4
. The United States has used the same “dimensions-based” approach in accusing Russia of breaching the INF Treaty since the mid-2010s. Washington was unhappy with the Russian 9M729 cruise missile, which has a range of approximately ...
Russia Should Prepare for the Very Realistic Scenario in which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble too, as it is looking dangerously ...
... explained that to create the possibility for a new arms control treaty it would be necessary to develop new kinds of agreements different from traditional accords.
At present, relations are marked by a lack of mutual trust between the United States and Russia, and moreover, Washington may also find it difficult to negotiating an arms control treaty with other countries like China after deciding unilaterally to pull out of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, Ivanov said.
The INF Treaty could have been saved because it had mechanisms to address issues disputed among the involved parties of the accord, Ivanov added.
Source:
Sputnik International
Session "U.S.-Russian Strategic Relations: The Big Picture", Carnegie ...
... launched the procedure of withdrawal from the Treaty on the Elimination of the Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles (INF Treaty). Russia, in turn, also suspended its participation in the INF. According to Andrei Kortunov, Director General of the Russian Council on International Affairs, the United States’ decision can create a “domino effect” in the nuclear arms control: by quitting the INF Treaty, Washington puts in question the prolongation of the New START agreement, and without the New START, there will be a broader issue of maintaining the nuclear weapons non-proliferation regime.
Three levels of argumentation
Igor Ivanov:
Nuclear ...
... bombers, but a relevant formal written commitment might prove to be a useful instrument of trust and security. This aspect of arms control may yet come to the fore should Russia-U.S. relations deteriorate further, including under the influence of domestic political processes in the United States.
Alexander Yermakov:
Brave New World Without INF Treaty
Russia and the United States managed, in previous decades, to reach a very high level in terms of sharing reliable ...
... including in the field of security, that guaranteed sole leadership for the United States. With increasing resolution Washington took to strengthening its own security by reducing that of its international partners.
Andrey Kortunov:
The World After the INF Treaty: How to Get Out of the Dead Zone
And what did this do to Russia–U.S. relations?
It could never have ended well. Mistrust and suspicion began to grow. Security contacts, including contacts on arms control, that had taken years to build up started to deteriorate. There is no way that this could not have had an effect on the military doctrines of the two countries. Once again, they are trying to draw Russia into a dangerous arms race, one that ...
After Ditching the INF Treaty, the U.S. Risks Further Isolation
Seventeen years ago, in late 2001, the George W. Bush Administration announced ... ... in 1972 and had served as a foundation of global strategic stability for 30 years. I remember well the tremendous efforts the Russian leadership poured into trying to keep the American side from taking such a step. President Vladimir Putin met several ...
