Escalation Scenarios
Arbatov, A.G. (2022). The Ukrainian crisis and strategic stability. Polis. Political Studies, 4, 10–31. (In R... ... years. This was a period of an unprecedented détente between Russia and the West—starting, flourishing, declining, and finally ... ... destroying the arms control system. In 2019, the U.S. denounced the INF Treaty, paving the way for deploying hypersonic missiles in ... ... military operation in Ukraine has affected the state’s approach to nuclear weapons. In his momentous address on February 24, 2022 ...
... claim that a nuclear war is not so horrible after all and that nuclear weapons do not differ in principle from conventional arms.... ... go in the near future? How will a change of generations in the Russian government play out? How acute and universal will new unconventional ... ... the absence of an adequate international legal foundation for strategic stability, this stability can and should be improved ... ... systems (this is especially important in view of the collapse of the INF Treaty), and exchange of information on the evolution of military ...
... which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms ... ... we started preparing ourselves for the possibility of waking up in March 2021 in a world where there are no restrictions on nuclear weapons.
The potential disintegration of New START would not be catastrophic for Russia, all the more so because the country could derive some benefit from the “inter-treaty” period and approach the next,...
... Segodnya hosted a round table on the prospects for the continued existence of The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (The INF Treaty) and the existing international architecture for strategic stability. Representatives of Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) took part in the discussion.
On January 31, 2019, International Multimedia Press ... ... a new treaty,” said Zolotarev.
The speaker underscored the very vague prospects of The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: “While Russia and the U.S. were engaged in maintaining strategic stability in a bilateral format discussing ...
... warhead. This debate will become even more heated as soon as the new generation of air-launched weapons (LRSO in US and Kh-BD in Russia), and bombers (B-21 and PAK-DA) enter service, not to mention hypersonic systems. These shortcomings may lead to negative ... ... military-to-military) and begin work on precise, agreed, and approved (!) definitions for terminology and broader concepts related to nuclear weapons policy and strategy: deterrence, strategic stability etc. The latter process may start as a Track II discussion.
Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky:
INF Treaty: More than Just an Agreement
The INF is a tougher topic. Both countries have officially accused each other of breaching ...
The simulation has shown that a sudden first strike by the United States on Russia would take out up to 86 per cent of Russia’s SNFs in “delivery systems” ... ... China is also developing its own SNF. To assess the role and place of various types of nuclear weapons in the overall structure of nuclear deterrence, we have developed a... ... empirical practice, as there were no nuclear strikes during that time. The maintenance of strategic stability in the current situation, which is marked by a significantly lower...
Reaffirming that a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought, the United States and Russia could agree to specific steps at Helsinki to reduce nuclear risks
Presidents Trump and Putin will finally meet next week ... ... mitigate these risks. Progress can only be made through the engagement of leaders. Moreover, in every country that possesses nuclear weapons, anything relating to nuclear policy is inherently “presidential.”
The reality today is that we have entered ...
Despite the belligerent nuclear statements by Russia and the U.S., the configuration of a possible future for ... ...
Igor Ivanov:
Russia Is Offering an Olive Branch, Not Flaunting Nuclear Weapons
The most recent evidence of the possibility of ... ... presidents declared their interest in a meaningful discussion on strategic stability aimed at preventing a new arms race [
1
]. ... ... the future nuclear deal has once again become a hot topic.
The
INF Treaty
is a burning topic: the two sides have officially accused ...
