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Why Experts Believed an Armed Conflict with Ukraine Would Never Happen

The bottom line is that the costs far outweigh the benefits, which is what underlies our bleak assessment of the current scenario Most experts, both in Russia and abroad, thought it was extremely unlikely and implausible that Russia would launch a full-scale military operation in Ukraine. Allegations that Moscow was preparing for something like this were laughed off, with this being labeled as another Russophobic campaign pushed by propagandists and radicals. However, it turned out on February...

04.03.2022

analytics

Ukraine: Three Scenarios After the Answer From Washington

... directly announced a set of restrictive measures that would be taken against Russia in the event of war. Apparently, another round of escalation is coming. In the near future, we can expect the development of the situation according to one of the following scenarios. The first scenario is “War”. Russia in this scenario will proceed from several premises. Igor Ivanov: Is War Inevitable? It is inevitable that amid peaceful conditions, Ukraine will pursue an anti-Russian course. An outwardly loose but ...

31.01.2022

analytics

Poll conducted

In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?

U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements	33 (31%)
U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity	30 (28%)
U.S. wants to dissolve Russia	24 (22%)
U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China	21 (19%)