For the United States, for the European Union, for Russia, for China and for many other leading players in world politics, the great turning point, most likely, will not be in 2020, but in 2024
US history knows just a few examples of how an incumbent president struggling for re-election is defeated by an opposition candidate. These votes of no confidence should not be attributed to the general rules of American democracy,...
Despite international security problems that overshadow Caucasus challenges, the region retains its independent significance
In late 2016, the Russian International Affairs Council published
The Evolution of the Post-Soviet Space: Past, Present and Future
, a major anthology attempting to conceptualise development trends in both domestic and foreign policies in the newly independent states that emerged after the collapse of the once-single state, the USSR. The Trans-Caucasus featured prominently...
... this is the case, then it makes no sense for the European Union to repeatedly postpone dialogue with Moscow in the hope that inevitable radical political changes will take place.
The following external factors affecting relations between Russia and the European Union in 2020 will likely be most significant:
1.
The outcome of the 2020 United States presidential election
. Victory for the Democrats would mean that erstwhile transatlantic solidarity will be at least partly restored, and the United States and the European ...
