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The 5th annual report by RIAC, RAS Institute of Far Eastern Studies and the Institute of International Studies at Fudan University presents the сommon views of leading Russian and Chinese international affairs experts on the development of Russia–China cooperation in 2018 and the first quarter of 2019.
The authors analyze the dynamics of Russia–China interaction on the most pressing matters of international and regional agendas against the backdrop of increasing external pressure. They assess ...
... precisely as an antagonistic one, to be responded to not merely by economic means but also by military means, namely the biggest build-up of an armada in recent history through the Indo-Pacific strategy.
Ivan Timofeev:
A New Anarchy? Scenarios for World Order Dynamics
The irony is a dual one, because it was China that first cautioned the USSR about the idealistic and utopian nature of the project of “peaceful economic competition” with the West, but later pursued it with greater zeal and success than the USSR ever did or could. In the 1960s and 1970s,...
... house will collapse. From this viewpoint, the death of INF is very risky because it might lead us into a world without any arms control whatsoever, not just a world with no bilateral US-Russia arms control agreements.
GT: How would relations among China, the US, and Russia affect world order?
Kortunov:
They would have a very important impact because these countries define the rules of the game. For example, if Russia and the US do not want to disarm, nobody will be ready to disarm. If China and the US cannot agree on free trade,...
... was assumed that this hyper-globalized global economy would become more ambitious in scale than the economic order of the Cold War period. Third, it was important to actively export liberal democracy throughout the whole world.
Igor Ivanov:
Russia, China and the New World Order
The execution of these three tasks fit in with the main liberal theories, such as liberal institutionalism, economic interdependence and the theory of a democratic world. Thus, in the minds of its architects, the construction of a strong, ...
... University and the Chinese People's Institute of Foreign Affairs. The main theme of the Forum this year was “Stabilizing the World Order: Common Responsibilities, Joint Management, and Shared Benefits”. Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) has ... ... Andrey Denisov, RIAC Member, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to the People’s Republic of China; Sergey Karaganov, RIAC Member, Dean of the Department of World Economics and World Politics, Higher School of Economics; ...
... elements in the West, who were satisfied with the way the Cold War seemingly ended, because it looked like the Russian side had unilaterally surrendered. Even then, there was no attempt to implement the Kissingerian formula of drawing in Russia and China into co-managing a world order that was unstable because of the emergence of or transition to multipolarity. The evidence was in 1991 itself, when the last-ditch Franco-Russian formula to avoid or delay a war in the Gulf was brushed aside or ignored. The world order was ...
... seeped inside through the unlocked doors, open windows, cracked walls, and crumbling ceilings.
Can this chaos put everything back in order? Apparently not just by itself. However, it is clear to me that it would be extremely unwise for both Russia and China to cling to a world order that will soon be gone forever.
There is this opinion that Russia and China are the two largest revisionist powers of the contemporary world. In fact, if we look past the hackneyed political stereotypes, Moscow and Beijing have always tried ...
..., by the way — and he delivered on the third day of his presidency. But this does not mean it will never be in the interests of the United States to reengage through such a trade deal.
Our officials and ministers are pro-active in engaging the US, China and others, as well as through forums like the G20, to ensure that protectionist policies do not win the day.
What kind of global governance could we expect in 10–15 years? What powers will determine the future world order in your opinion? And what place should Russia take?
I would like to think that we will see continued strong international cooperation and properly functioning global governance on key concerns.
Despite the current deterioration in relations ...
The conclusion is clear: to preserve the liberal world order by all means, to rationalize United States policy, and to isolate Russia and China or make them return to their usual roles. But a return of the old order of post-bipolar times is unlikely
Andrey Kortunov:
Why the World is Not Becoming Multipolar
The organizers of the Munich Security Conference have released their
annual report
...
... Agreement
By withdrawing from the INF treaty, the U.S. is giving itself free rein not only in Europe but also in Asia. Beijing is likely to feel the impact of the U.S’s decision. Sooner or later, the Pentagon may start expanding its arsenal for deterring China to ensure that it maintains “escalation dominance.” Intermediate-range systems could play a significant role toward this end if U.S. allies in the region agree to host them.
Global security will also lose out. The nuclear nonproliferation regime,...
