If joint efforts succeeded in preventing the spiral of arms race in Northeast Asia, the global nuclear non-proliferation regime, hopelessly lagging behind the current geopolitical dynamics, would get the second wind it badly needs today
Today, only a lazy person in the expert community has not yet commented on the numerous negative trends in international affairs, caused by the unraveling of the old system of global and regional security, which is taking place before our eyes. Some of these trends...
Working Paper No.76 / 2023
Working Paper No.76 / 2023
The following working paper examines the current state of security in the Baltic region. It has become clear that there is no going back to the pre-Ukraine crisis balance of power structure. NATO’s expansion into Sweden and Finland can radically transform the political and security landscape in the Baltic region and destroy the established forms of cooperation these states have with Russia. This paper covers: risks and opportunities states face...
..., minimising the number of enemies and achieving peace in the interests of their country.
First published in the
Valdai Discussion Club
.
1
. Farrell H. and Newman A. Weaponized Interdependence. How Global Economic Networks Shape State Coercion. // International Security, 2019, Vol. 44, No. 1, pp. 42-79.
2
. Drezner, D. The Sanctions Paradox. Economic Statecraft and International Relations. Cambridge University Press, 1999.
Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin’s tour portrayed Washington’s official strategy as more benevolent than it actually is
US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin embarked on a tour of Africa this week, marking the first such visit by a Pentagon chief since 2020, when Mark Esper visited Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco. In contrast to that occasion, when no attention was paid to Sub-Saharan Africa, Austin’s trip was intended to reaffirm the Biden administration’s posture that the US is
“all in for Africa...
The growing US-Japanese-South Korean military cooperation inevitably leads to stronger China-Russia-North Korea ties
The Russian-North Korean negotiations this month have provoked a lot of hype, particularly in the West. It is assumed by the West that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un's trip might indicate a profound change in Moscow's overall approach to the security problems on the Korean Peninsula. Allegedly, a new so-called "Moscow-Beijing-Pyongyang axis" that harbors unquestionable...
Policy Brief #47 / 2023
Policy Brief #47 / 2023
The Middle East has been clearly showing signs that is it changing. It would not be an overstatement to say that a lot of what is happening now would have been unthinkable just a couple of years ago.
The greatest of these changes is the China-mediated rapprochement between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran. Given that these countries are regional “centers of power”, their new and improved relations may help reduce regional...
Like Russia, India is likely to resist the evolution of the international system towards a rigid U.S.-China bipolarity since such an evolution would inevitably deprive New Delhi of the freedom of manoeuvring that it enjoys now
Recently there have been many speculations about the likely future of India-US relations and their impact on the Indian posture within the emerging new world order. Indeed, the India-U.S. interaction represents one of the most important bilateral relationships in the modern...
When al-Sisi became the country’s new president in 2014, Russia and Egypt entered a new stage in their bilateral relations
The anniversary of the inauguration of Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi on June 30, 2013 was celebrated in the wake of an alarming situation. For several days, Morsi’s opponents shook Egypt with demonstrations against the President and his Freedom and Justice Party, the political wing of the Muslim Brotherhood*.
Political Risks for Russian-Egyptian Cooperation in North Africa...
The EU will experience the full impact of its misguided foreign policy
Article Review
In an
article
for the
Meer Magazine
, Michael von der Schulenburg explores the opportunities the EU has missed in the context of the ongoing conflict in and around Ukraine, while noting that politicians, think tanks and media across Europe are once more embracing the belief that weapons are the only means of ensuring security. This dangerous belief, he argues, has resulted in the sacrifice of human lives in...
Russia’s preservation of its statehood and sovereignty again becomes the main stake of the conflict. The statehood of Ukraine is another stake
In Russia, the point of view that the goal of the United States and the “collective West” headed by Washington is a final solution to the “Russian question” is becoming more and more widespread. Such a goal is seen as defeating Russia, levelling its military potential, restructuring its statehood, rewiring its identity, and possibly liquidating it as a single...
